Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities: It is predicted that the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly weakened in 2025. At the 2025 Dongwu Strategy Meeting held on the 10th, Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, said that the leverage ratio of Chinese government departments, especially the central government, is not high, which has sufficient policy space and full confidence in China's economy next year. The driving force of economic growth will come from three aspects. First, the growth rate of consumption will pick up. The "trade-in" policy has boosted consumption this year and is expected to play a greater role next year; Second, real estate has stopped falling and stabilized. Since the introduction of the "package policy" in October, various real estate indicators have shown signs of stopping falling. It is expected that it will continue to stabilize next year, and the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly reduced; Third, the policy of "10 trillion yuan in five years" will stimulate the vitality of local governments, open up the blocking point of fiscal policy transmission, and support China's economy to be stable and far-reaching.Putian Technology: The total bid amount of the wholly-owned subsidiary Far East Communication is 687 million yuan. Putian Technology announced that the wholly-owned subsidiary Far East Communication participated in the procurement project of communication system in the first phase of Shijiazhuang urban rail transit line 4 and the procurement project of communication system equipment in the first phase of line 5. On December 6, 2024, Hebei Provincial Public Resource Trading Center issued a public announcement of the successful bidders, and Far East Communication was the first successful candidate. The amount of the first target of the project is 501 million yuan, and the amount of the second target of the project is 186 million yuan. The publicity period has ended, but Far East Communication has not yet obtained the Notice of Winning Bid and signed a formal contract, so there is some uncertainty.Lexin Technology bought 166 million yuan and sold 203 million yuan at the daily limit of 20cm in Shanghai Stock Connect today. Lexin Technology bought 166 million yuan and sold 203 million yuan at the daily limit of 20cm today, with a turnover of 1.38 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 7.38%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shanghai Stock Connect bought 166 million yuan and sold 203 million yuan, and the special seats of the two institutions sold 66.1791 million yuan.
A fire-related department near a university in southern California issued a mandatory evacuation order. On December 10, local time, the reporter of the General Desk was informed that a large bush fire broke out near the center of Malibu in southern California in the early morning of the 10 th, which now threatens buildings including the landmark Malibu pier in the city. Relevant departments issued a mandatory evacuation order. The nearby Pepperdine University cancelled classes on the 10th, and students took refuge in the campus. The California Fire Department said that the fire has grown to more than 1,600 acres (about 6.5 square kilometers), and the area has almost tripled in one hour. The local fire department did not know whether the bush fire was caused by human factors. (CCTV News)Orient securities gave Yuekang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. an initial buy rating.China Heihe-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port passenger transport was officially opened, and China Heihe Highway Port-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port passenger transport was officially opened. Passengers take buses from Heihe International Highway Passenger Station in China and Amoula Suo International Bus Station in Blagoveshchensk, Russia, respectively, and enter and exit through the Sino-Russian cross-border highway bridge, with four buses each entering and leaving the country every day. After the official opening of passenger transportation at Heihe Highway Port, the functions of Sino-Russian highway ports have been further improved, providing a more convenient channel for cross-border communication.
In the third quarter of the United States, the final value of non-agricultural unit labor cost was 0.8%, the expected value was 1.5%, and the previous value was 1.90%. The final value of unit labor cost in the third quarter of the United States increased by 0.8% from the previous month; It is estimated to increase by 1.3%.Hong Kong held an insurance forum to share the advantages of a global risk management center, and the Hong Kong Insurance Regulatory Authority held the 2024 Asian Insurance Forum at the Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Center on the 10th. Focusing on "Meeting the Challenges of Global Market Fluctuation", the forum brought together more than 400 professionals from insurance, banking and asset management, regulators, law enforcement agencies and related institutions to share the advantages of Hong Kong as a global risk management center and explore the prospects and challenges of global financial markets. (Xinhua News Agency)Fitch: It is expected that the financial situation of the United States will improve moderately in 2025, due to the cyclical rebound of personal and corporate taxes, higher capital gains and tariffs. In view of the spread, the Canadian dollar will continue to weaken, which may offset some of the impact of the US tariff increase.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide